Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.526521 4.149296 4.872640 5.780445 6.897055 8.235618 9.976734
2024-12-29 2.593317 3.358920 4.358205 5.781116 7.793350 10.596670 14.905944
2025-01-05 2.096314 2.881956 3.985741 5.692461 8.344785 12.451462 19.590287
2025-01-12 1.822164 2.628294 3.830951 5.823084 9.179807 14.885594 25.988430
2025-01-19 1.567867 2.347841 3.567863 5.703743 9.550026 16.623240 31.808331
2025-01-26 1.466789 2.280789 3.616643 6.092826 10.875430 20.450430 43.387398
2025-02-02 1.360149 2.184569 3.595025 6.344612 12.000596 24.246354 56.809038
2025-02-09 1.276807 2.113004 3.600167 6.640825 13.286917 28.831003 74.800377
2025-02-16 1.180462 2.003798 3.517423 6.742690 14.179627 32.825491 93.694382
2025-02-23 1.101827 1.915414 3.458668 6.879583 15.188356 37.506472 118.106230
2025-03-02 1.011732 1.793857 3.316635 6.806456 15.667606 40.942612 140.878017
2025-03-09 0.960969 1.741304 3.305134 7.025207 16.959760 47.336280 181.153640
2025-03-16 0.866321 1.602607 3.119522 6.860604 17.358754 51.775102 221.363436
2025-03-23 0.792908 1.500140 3.001905 6.856472 18.292217 58.905444 287.613219
2025-03-30 0.722731 1.394131 2.857689 6.748148 18.877519 65.213867 361.357317
2025-04-06 0.679029 1.338194 2.817583 6.908171 20.405131 76.555682 495.297066
2025-04-13 0.622415 1.246674 2.679156 6.761951 20.842720 83.550213 615.323764
2025-04-20 0.605753 1.241862 2.749037 7.239105 23.775313 105.456954 956.078331
2025-04-27 0.581261 1.215762 2.761427 7.548537 26.244267 127.830396 1420.721238
2025-05-04 0.560842 1.196445 2.788002 7.913200 29.165587 156.811708 2189.585514
2025-05-11 0.532134 1.153603 2.745232 8.038758 31.124248 182.324147 3141.353899
2025-05-18 0.507522 1.117863 2.716366 8.207613 33.416482 214.154398 4661.176934
2025-05-25 0.476108 1.061555 2.621572 8.117394 34.390313 237.045570 6305.264777